Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.445487 0.567553 0.699196 0.850000 1.016407 1.193044 1.393398
2025-08-03 0.289480 0.455734 0.652606 0.894626 1.177162 1.490819 1.860110
2025-08-10 0.197194 0.376064 0.604966 0.901202 1.260148 1.669751 2.162527
2025-08-17 0.112549 0.281902 0.521410 0.849963 1.263835 1.749078 2.344848
2025-08-24 0.055254 0.204328 0.443092 0.791641 1.247698 1.795933 2.481290
2025-08-31 0.026467 0.158754 0.399763 0.771363 1.272756 1.887193 2.665680
2025-09-07 0.012410 0.132572 0.380210 0.779534 1.331162 2.016795 2.893890
2025-09-14 0.003312 0.105165 0.352525 0.772097 1.366312 2.115650 3.083523
2025-09-21 0.000018 0.078662 0.319604 0.752671 1.382516 2.188710 3.240176
2025-09-28 NaN 0.074083 0.328067 0.795877 1.483528 2.368843 3.527814
2025-10-05 NaN 0.072885 0.343087 0.849208 1.598495 2.566880 3.837709
2025-10-12 NaN 0.069234 0.351854 0.892197 1.698963 2.746370 4.124849
2025-10-19 NaN 0.072030 0.377295 0.965563 1.846710 2.992634 4.502389
2025-10-26 NaN 0.068014 0.386415 1.012872 1.959035 3.194889 4.827587
2025-11-02 NaN 0.055626 0.372118 1.019995 2.013560 3.321617 5.058212
2025-11-09 NaN 0.033720 0.323547 0.965223 1.977348 3.328810 5.138619
2025-11-16 NaN 0.016597 0.274156 0.902793 1.926154 3.313614 5.188691
2025-11-23 NaN 0.008935 0.249193 0.881050 1.932450 3.372575 5.330575
2025-11-30 NaN 0.005716 0.240915 0.889813 1.983860 3.491410 5.548243
2025-12-07 NaN 0.002498 0.224931 0.881837 2.009015 3.574466 5.719984
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000399 0.203770 0.860992 2.013157 3.628340 5.853834
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000414 0.214642 0.907332 2.121827 3.824481 6.170569
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000630 0.230522 0.964422 2.247411 4.043825 6.517339